ACUS11 KWNS 162020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162020=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-162115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0167
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

Areas affected...portions of south-central and southeastern
Mississippi...into western Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 38...40...

Valid 162020Z - 162115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 38, 40 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat continues and may intensify over the
next 1-2 hours across portions of southern MS into western AL.

DISCUSSION...As of 2015 UTC, hi-res radar imagery showed a loose
cluster of supercells becoming better organized across Jasper,
Jefferson Davis, Marion and Walthal counties, MS. Area VADs have
shown consistently strong low-level wind profiles with 0-1km bulk
shear around 25-30 kt. As these supercells have matured, low-level
mesocyclones have trended stronger, suggesting tornado potential is
increasing. This is further corroborated by a recent report of a
tornado in Smith County, MS. A corridor of enhanced tornado
potential may evolve over the next hour or two as supercells
continue to track northeastward and reach maturity within the
strongly sheared airmass.

..Lyons.. 02/16/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_5r2t_0WiKWsZHMOsqZweAnSZ31uYvdeKxgjXKYyCx4d5iT-l8n7bLBcquQzRWTOCp7p4vjJP= 2XTgJhQU-SA6WqA2Y0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 31159064 32068946 32558868 32718809 32328780 31238834
31128862 31078927 31049033 31159064=20


=3D =3D =3D
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