ACUS11 KWNS 090057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090056=20
MSZ000-090200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0138
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CST Wed Feb 08 2023

Areas affected...northern MS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 090056Z - 090200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms are gradually intensifying across northern MS early
this evening. It is uncertain whether a tornado watch is needed.=20
Short-term convective trends will be monitored.

DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows a couple of storms developing
across northern MS to the north of a mainly stratiform rain area to
the south over central MS. Surface analysis indicates lower 60s deg
F dewpoints over northern MS with richer low-level moisture farther
south (mid 60s along the I-20 corridor). As the mid-level shortwave
trough continues to pivot towards the region, hodographs are
forecast to enlarge across northern MS. If storms can become
surface-based, a tornado risk may potentially accompany these storms
if/once they evolve into supercells. Otherwise, an isolated
damaging-wind threat will tend to be the primary risk with the
stronger storms through the evening hours.

..Smith/Grams.. 02/09/2023

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-jV4p5YUYkeWeaOxhZZ9e3SgMFjCt9TdDQivgcgbYIERk_LK12aiCcS_1WjjZShQtPX3-EDK1= rfVX_QAd4d9pgb73hE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33969034 34648972 34858922 34508854 33858866 33318949
33449028 33969034=20


=3D =3D =3D
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