• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0055

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jan 12 19:00:27 2023
    ACUS11 KWNS 121900
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 121900=20
    ALZ000-122000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0055
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0100 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

    Areas affected...central AL

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 18...

    Valid 121900Z - 122000Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 18 continues.

    SUMMARY...A strong to intense tornado (~EF3) is likely ongoing
    across central AL and after tornado demise, a wind-damage risk will
    likely continue into east-central AL.

    DISCUSSION...KBMX radar imagery shows an intense low-level
    mesocyclone moving through an adequately moist/moderately buoyant
    airmass across central AL. SPC data analytics indicates a
    strong/intense tornado is likely ongoing across Autauga County, AL.=20
    The area VAD/s show large hodographs with 300 m2/s2 0-0.5 km
    effective SRH. The strong shear/buoyancy will likely aid in
    sustaining the supercell after eventual tornado demise once the
    squall line overtakes the supercell. Nonetheless, a significant
    wind-damage threat and some tornado risk will likely continue into
    eastern AL through the mid afternoon.

    ..Smith.. 01/12/2023

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6gZGYXTXcHM4cGHsaZhXV-cqlxpkIP6J7d8rA87nPZqEwFM3v_lWrD7_Qm-fZ2x6IXKQHRGft= PMtJ67JB3wmh4Q9yAI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BMX...

    LAT...LON 32638663 32998588 33028569 32888557 32778559 32488627
    32508662 32638663=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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