Well ..
WAs just snooping through the nodelist and saw your entry
the other night, welcome to Fidonet.
I'm only up for modem midnight to 8AM EDT because I heard there BW> are
less sunspots at night.
<rotfl> YOu can't be serious are you?
He might be more informed than a LOT of people don't realize! But just may not
understand the 24 hour reality of this.. Scowl .. Many, many people don't understand the very real risk all us humans on the earth of modern day communications technology face from possible very real Solar Flare increasing intensity in the next two years. You see we are now actually going up toward the maximum of the sunspots in Cycle 24 now which has sort of recently started.
The sunspot cycles are generally in 11-13 year range, none to maximum. They are
very definitely know to be this or the next cycle because of the magnetic reversal in their polarity on the sun between this and an adjacent cycle. As well, they generally go from the end of the old cycle to the max of the next one in about two years, then the spots more slowly decay down to nothing again until the next reverse in polarity for the next cycle. However, the time from the end of Cycle 23 until this very definite start of Cycle 24 was quite a bit longer than usual. And there are rare times when we may go a decade or more with NO spots called a Maunder Minimum, which we all were originally suspicious
might be happening now. But no, up we are going.
And as the sunspots ramp up, so do Solar Flares! Plus in this cycle they are really romping up as strong outbursts. Well, what can they really do? As X level flares they could destroy almost ALL wire and metal connected connectivity in the whole world as we know it! The strongest one we have ever had in a couple hundred years was what is known as the Carrington Event back in
1859 two years after the Golden Spike was driven on the railroad coast to coast
completion here in the USA. It was so strong that it burned up all the telegraph sounders in the USA, hurting many operators as the electric shock hit
them, plus in a number of places, where the railroad rails got pumped up by the
more than 30,000,000 electron volts per meter blast and the arced from the rails to the earth over the wood cross ties, they actully set fire to the cross
ties! We've only had five or six really huge X-level flares this way since then. I think one in 1985 and one in 2003. Plus depending on which way the Earth is facing when the burst hits, the damage can be very geographically specific, or in the case of a massive long term burst .. whole world wide.
If we get an X-4 or stronger flare, it will take out virtually *ALL* of the entire power grids where that hits, all copper wired phone and data communication, all unprotected wire connected computer systems, virtully all of
the now computer enabled cars, same with the airplanes, arc and burn up the power distribution transformer substations, circuit breakers; you name it. The
only humans that would die from the direct electric wave would be those with pacemakers. The wired would shock and burn up their hearts from the flash.
Now .. in the last four months as Cycle 24 ramps up we have had I think FOUR possible X-level flares! A one in five shot at each per my memory as I write this. In fact in I think the 2003 shot a number of the power grids in Canada were down for a day or more. Plus in the second run back here in this romp, my
memory is that China actually lost some of their IP connectivity and so on.
Plus, what else is happening to us now on Earth? As we go forward in the next two years or so, we are also going to go through the magnetic center of the whole Galaxy here on Earth and so on! So what is the effect going to be for us
relative to Sun and even Earth Magna shift,plust polar shift and so on as we are DEFINITELY seeing evidence of more than usual disturbances now? And would you add two years to the peaking of this spot stuff to 2010 and you get 2012, right?
We live in VERY interesting times, per the Chinese Proverbs. We all here may well see or not get to see for whatever cause we lose that see ability, the reall outcome of all this.
And keeping your modem off line except at night might curiously be a way to help stop this. But I suspect that is only a tiny start of protection worry. Your power lines, your computer switching power supplies, you UPS design, your totally need for Faraday Shielding of your whole data center and hard drive archives and so on are FAR more to worry about than your modem connections.
Just a litlle learning here from a Narte Master Telecommunications Engineer certified since 1985 at all this and really familiar with lightning strike protection and all that stuff
Sleep well; OS/2's still awake! ;)
Mike @ 1:117/3001
--- Maximus/2 3.01
* Origin: Ziplog Public Port (1:117/3001)